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Trade, FDI and Economic Growth in China: 1982-2017.
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- Author(s): Iza, Julen Berasaluce1 ; Tellaeche, José Antonio Romero1
- Source:
Portes: Revista Mexicana de Estudios Sobre la Cuenca del Pacifico. ene-jun2021, Vol. 15 Issue 29, p7-40. 34p. - Source:
- Additional Information
- Alternate Title: Comercio, IED y crecimiento económico en China: 1982-2017.
- Subject Terms:
- Subject Terms:
- Abstract: This paper studies the causal relationship between external trade, investments and economic growth in China. A four-variable vector autoregression (VAR) is used to examine the statistical causal relationships between exports, imports, foreign direct investment (FDI), and economic growth using annual data from 1982 to 2017. We analyze Granger causality, impulse response functions and variance decomposition. All three tests confirm the bidirectional causality between economic growth and exports. We find that FDI arrived in response to exports and that both exports and economic growth explain the increase in imports. These causal relationships are related to the specific case of the opening of China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Abstract: Este artículo estudia la relación causal entre el comercio exterior, la inversión y el crecimiento económico en China. Se emplea un modelo vectorial autorregresivo (VAR) de cuatro variables para examinar la relación causal estadística entre exportaciones, importaciones, inversión extranjera directa (IED) y crecimiento económico, empleando datos anuales de 1982 a 2017. Analizamos la causalidad de Granger, funciones de impulso respuesta y descomposición de la varianza. Las tres pruebas confirman la causalidad bidireccional entre crecimiento económico y exportaciones. Encontramos que la IED llegó al país en respuesta a las exportaciones y que éstas junto con el crecimiento económico, explican el crecimiento de las importaciones. Estas relaciones causales responden al caso particular de la apertura china. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Abstract: Copyright of Portes: Revista Mexicana de Estudios Sobre la Cuenca del Pacifico is the property of Universidad de Colima and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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