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Keith Summey North Charleston Library
Closed due to operational issues.
Phone: (843) 744-2489
Folly Beach Library
9 a.m. - 2 p.m.
*open the 2nd and 4th Saturday
*open the 2nd and 4th Saturday
Phone: (843) 588-2001
Main Library
9 a.m. - 5 p.m.
Phone: (843) 805-6930
West Ashley Library
9 a.m. - 5 p.m.
Phone: (843) 766-6635
Wando Mount Pleasant Library
9 a.m. - 5 p.m.
Phone: (843) 805-6888
McClellanville Library
9 a.m. – 1 p.m.
Phone: (843) 887-3699
Miss Jane's Building (Edisto Library Temporary Location)
9 a.m. – 1 p.m.
Phone: (843) 869-2355
John L. Dart Library
9 a.m. - 5 p.m.
Phone: (843) 722-7550
St. Paul's/Hollywood Library
9 a.m. - 5 p.m.
Phone: (843) 889-3300
Mt. Pleasant Library
9 a.m. – 5 p.m.
Phone: (843) 849-6161
Dorchester Road Library
9 a.m. - 5 p.m.
Phone: (843) 552-6466
Edgar Allan Poe/Sullivan's Island Library
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John's Island Library
9 a.m. - 5 p.m.
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Otranto Road Library
9 a.m. - 5 p.m.
Phone: (843) 572-4094
Hurd/St. Andrews Library
9 a.m. - 5 p.m.
Phone: (843) 766-2546
Baxter-Patrick James Island
9 a.m. - 5 p.m.
Phone: (843) 795-6679
Bees Ferry West Ashley Library
9 a.m. - 5 p.m.
Phone: (843) 805-6892
Village Library
9 a.m. - 1 p.m.
Phone: (843) 884-9741
Mobile Library
Closed
Phone: (843) 805-6909
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Where can managers effectively resist climate‐driven ecological transformation in pinyon–juniper woodlands of the US Southwest?
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- Author(s): Noel, Adam R.1,2 (AUTHOR) ; Shriver, Robert K.3 (AUTHOR); Crausbay, Shelley D.4 (AUTHOR); Bradford, John B.1,2 (AUTHOR)
- Source:
Global Change Biology. Aug2023, Vol. 29 Issue 15, p4327-4341. 15p.- Subject Terms:
- Source:
- Additional Information
- Abstract: Pinyon–juniper (PJ) woodlands are an important component of dryland ecosystems across the US West and are potentially susceptible to ecological transformation. However, predicting woodland futures is complicated by species‐specific strategies for persisting and reproducing under drought conditions, uncertainty in future climate, and limitations to inferring demographic rates from forest inventory data. Here, we leverage new demographic models to quantify how climate change is expected to alter population demographics in five PJ tree species in the US West and place our results in the context of a climate adaptation framework to resist, accept, or direct ecological transformation. Two of five study species, Pinus edulis and Juniperus monosperma, are projected to experience population declines, driven by both rising mortality and decreasing recruitment rates. These declines are reasonably consistent across various climate futures, and the magnitude of uncertainty in population growth due to future climate is less than uncertainty due to how demographic rates will respond to changing climate. We assess the effectiveness of management to reduce tree density and mitigate competition, and use the results to classify southwest woodlands into areas where transformation is (a) unlikely and can be passively resisted, (b) likely but may be resisted by active management, and (c) likely unavoidable, requiring managers to accept or direct the trajectory. Population declines are projected to promote ecological transformation in the warmer and drier PJ communities of the southwest, encompassing 37.1%–81.1% of our sites, depending on future climate scenarios. Less than 20% of sites expected to transform away from PJ have potential to retain existing tree composition by density reduction. Our results inform where this adaptation strategy could successfully resist ecological transformation in coming decades and allow for a portfolio design approach across the geographic range of PJ woodlands. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Abstract: Copyright of Global Change Biology is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Abstract:
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